Futures

Domino’s Faces Pressure Amid Delivery Challenges, from (20230708.)

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Summary

Domino’s delivery business is facing pressure due to the battle to find drivers, resulting in a drop in delivery same-store sales. However, the company has seen improvements in delivery service times and has gained market share in quick-service pizza delivery overall. The brand remains committed to first-party fulfillment but also has a significant international business with third-party delivery aggregators. On the other hand, carryout same-store sales have been rising, and the channel accounts for half of Domino’s business. The company is experiencing trade-down from non-Domino’s carryout to Domino’s carryout. Despite challenges, Domino’s has seen overall business growth, with an increase in average ticket and pricing. The shift back to dine-in has bigger implications for Domino’s compared to non-pizza restaurants. Additionally, Domino’s has implemented various technical innovations, such as in-car ordering through Apple CarPlay, and has launched a fleet of electric vehicles to address the delivery driver shortage. The brand has also been expanding globally, opening new restaurants both domestically and internationally.

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Signals

Signal Change 10y horizon Driving force
Domino’s delivery business facing pressure Decline in delivery sales Increased use of third-party delivery aggregators Lack of available delivery drivers
Increase in carryout sales Shift from delivery to carryout More focus on carryout sales Customer preference for carryout
Overall increase in same-store sales Increase in average ticket Higher prices offset by lower order volume Rising prices
Decline in quick-service delivery demand Decrease in delivery demand Shift in consumer eating habits Return to dine-in eating habits
“Summer of Service” training program Training program for franchisees Improved training and service quality Focus on improving franchise operations
Addition of in-car ordering through CarPlay Integration of technology Enhanced customer convenience and ordering process Response to delivery driver shortage
Launch of electric vehicle fleet Adoption of electric vehicles Reduced emissions and maintenance costs Response to delivery driver shortage
Expansion of Domino’s globally Increase in restaurant locations Greater global presence and market share Company growth and expansion strategy

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