Futures

The Future of Tech and Society, from (20230423.)

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Summary

This text discusses the impact of OpenAI’s technologies, particularly GPT-4 and ChatGPT plugins, on various aspects of society. It explores the possibilities of companies becoming custom models and APIs, as well as humans uploading their personal data to create customized AI models for self-exploration and various interactions. The text also highlights the rise of AI assistants that advocate for individuals 24/7 and the need for content authentication in an era of deepfakes. Furthermore, it discusses the potential displacement of knowledge worker jobs and the subsequent explosion of creativity that AI can enable. Despite acknowledging the potential challenges and disruptions, the text remains cautiously optimistic about the transformative power of AI in society.

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Themes

Signals

Signal Change 10y horizon Driving force
Companies become custom models and APIs Transition from traditional software to custom GPT models Companies will use GPT models to ingest all their data and replace traditional software Desire for more efficient and adaptable business operations
Humans become custom models and APIs Ingesting the content of people for self-exploration and interaction People can create AI versions of themselves based on personal data and preferences Desire for self-exploration, personalized experiences, and immortality
AI assistants AI personas advocating on our behalf 24/7 AI assistants will know and assist us in various aspects of our lives Desire for personalized and efficient assistance in daily activities
Content authentication Need to authenticate both human and AI-created content Implementation of digital watermarking using public key cryptography Need for reliable verification and trust in content authenticity
Knowledge work replacement AI replacing millions of knowledge-worker jobs Tens or hundreds of millions of jobs may be lost Advancements in AI technology and automation
The Creativity Explosion AI equalizing opportunities for creative expression and discovery Massive increase in creative output and opportunities for artists Desire to democratize creative industries and provide opportunities for talented individuals

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