The author expresses skepticism towards the term “A.I.” and believes it is misleading and dangerous. They argue that many people pursuing the A.I. dream also worry about its potential harm to humanity. The author emphasizes the importance of understanding A.I. as a tool rather than an independent creature, as mismanagement can lead to negative consequences. They propose viewing A.I. as a form of social collaboration and highlight the need for responsible use and operation of new technology. The author discusses the flexibility and unpredictability of A.I. systems and the potential benefits and concerns associated with it. They also address the challenges of A.I. policy-making and the importance of clear labeling and transparency in A.I. communications.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debate over the term “A.I.” | Shift in perception of A.I. | A.I. seen as a tool, not a creature | Fear of mismanaging technology |
| Concerns about A.I. causing harm | Recognition of potential danger of A.I. | Improved management and understanding of A.I. | Fear of annihilation or harm to humanity |
| Viewing A.I. as social collaboration | Shift in understanding A.I. | A.I. seen as a collaborative tool, not independent beings | Illuminating concordances between human creations |
| Flexibility and unpredictability of A.I. | Move towards less rigid computer technology | More control and agency for individuals | Desire for humans to have more control over technology |
| Worries about negative impacts of A.I. | Concerns about A.I. pushing people in unwanted ways | Increased efforts to set A.I. policy | Fear of manipulation and lack of privacy |
| Agreement on labeling deepfakes and artificial communications | Consensus on labeling and transparency | Clear labeling and actions for deepfakes and artificial communications | Need for understanding and choices in interactions with A.I. |