Futures

Transformative Changes from 2014 to Today: AI, Energy, and Nationalism, (from page 20250223.)

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Summary

The text reflects on a transformative period in history from 2014 to today, likening it to the significant changes of the 1920s and 1930s. It discusses how technological advancements, particularly in AI and renewable energy, are reshaping economic and political models. The author, referencing economist Carlota Perez, highlights the integration of AI into society, the shift of energy from a commodity to a technology, and the rise of nationalist domestic agendas in politics. This era is marked by both opportunities and challenges, with a focus on community dynamics and potential divides between ‘AI natives’ and ‘AI abstainers’.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
Society of AI AI usage is rapidly increasing, reshaping workflows and organizational structures. Transitioning from traditional workflows to AI-optimized processes. Organizations will fully integrate AI, leading to a divide between AI natives and abstainers. The relentless advancement of AI technologies and their integration into daily tasks. 5
Energy as technology Renewable energy is evolving from a commodity to a decentralized technology. Shift from centralized energy systems to localized, technology-driven energy generation. Individuals and communities will gain energy sovereignty, transforming energy markets. Advancements in renewable technologies and the demand for energy independence. 5
Rising domestic agendas Countries are prioritizing nationalism and inward-focused policies over globalism. A shift from globalism to domestic-centric political strategies. Political landscapes will be dominated by nationalistic policies, impacting global relations. A reaction to global challenges and a desire for local control and identity. 4

Concerns

name description relevancy
AI Divide The potential for a societal rift between those who embrace AI technologies and those who reject them, impacting productivity and social cohesion. 4
Energy Transition Risks The shift from centralized energy systems to decentralized, technology-driven models poses regulatory and supply chain challenges, risking inequities in energy access. 5
Nationalism Surge The rising trend of nationalism and populism in various countries may undermine global cooperation and exacerbate geopolitical tensions. 5
Technological Unemployment As AI becomes more integrated into society, there is a risk of widespread job displacement and economic inequality for those unable to adapt. 5
Geopolitical Instability Volatile geopolitics during this transitional period could lead to conflicts or economic disruptions on a global scale, impacting everyday lives. 4

Behaviors

name description relevancy
Emerging Society of AI A shift towards a society heavily integrated with AI technologies, leading to new workflows and productivity dynamics. 5
Energy as Decentralized Technology Transitioning energy from a commodity to a technology, enabling local generation and storage, akin to the internet’s impact. 5
Rise of Domestic Agendas A trend towards nationalism and populism in politics, reversing decades of globalism and focusing on local priorities. 4
Cultural Friction Around AI Growing divide between ‘AI natives’ who embrace technology and ‘AI abstainers’ who reject it for personal reasons. 4
Interactive Energy Ecosystem Creation of a technology-based energy ecosystem involving real-time pricing and peer-to-peer energy trading. 4
Institutional Recomposition Need for institutional changes to adapt to new economic and political models shaped by technological advancements. 5

Technologies

description relevancy src
The ongoing evolution of AI systems towards seamless integration into workflows, enhancing productivity and organizational efficiency. 5 299248e05dbfb0ab57ae84fc170ee39a
The shift of energy generation and storage from centralized models to local, technology-based systems, enabling greater energy sovereignty for individuals and communities. 5 299248e05dbfb0ab57ae84fc170ee39a
Innovative market designs allowing individuals to trade energy directly with one another, enhancing the efficiency of renewable energy use. 4 299248e05dbfb0ab57ae84fc170ee39a
Dynamic pricing models for energy consumption that reflect real-time supply and demand, facilitating better resource management. 4 299248e05dbfb0ab57ae84fc170ee39a
A new framework for energy systems that mimics the internet, integrating various technologies for improved energy management. 5 299248e05dbfb0ab57ae84fc170ee39a
A societal transformation driven by the adoption of AI, creating distinct groups of ‘AI natives’ and ‘AI abstainers’. 4 299248e05dbfb0ab57ae84fc170ee39a

Issues

name description relevancy
Society of AI The growing integration of AI into daily life and organizational workflows, leading to potential divides between ‘AI natives’ and ‘AI abstainers’. 5
Energy as technology The shift in energy generation from a commodity model to a technology-oriented ecosystem, enabling decentralization and local energy sovereignty. 5
Rising domestic agendas A global trend towards nationalism and populism, as countries pivot inward after decades of globalism, impacting political landscapes. 4
Geofragmentation The division of global economies and politics into regional blocs, affecting international cooperation and trade. 4
Social and cultural ‘vibe shift’ A significant change in societal values and cultural norms, influenced by technological advancements and geopolitical shifts. 4