Futures

Exploring the Verge Framework: A Comprehensive Tool for Futures Research and Analysis, (from page 20240317.)

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Summary

The Verge framework, developed by Michele Bowman and the author in 2004, offers a new lens for understanding changes in the world through six domains of human experience: Define, Relate, Connect, Create, Consume, and Destroy. Initially created for environmental scanning, it has evolved into a versatile tool used in various futures research activities, including forecasting and analysis. Each domain addresses different aspects of human experience, helping practitioners generate richer insights compared to traditional frameworks like STEEP. The framework’s adaptability allows it to be combined with other methods for deeper analysis, and it is being used globally in diverse projects. Future applications may explore normative futures work, engaging stakeholders in envisioning preferred futures through the domains.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
Emerging Use of Verge Framework The Verge framework is increasingly utilized for various forms of futures research. From traditional STEEP categories to a more human-centered approach with the Verge framework. Widespread adoption of human-centric frameworks for futures research, impacting various industries globally. A growing demand for more relatable and nuanced methods of understanding societal changes. 4
Fluid Interpretation of Domains Practitioners are redefining and interpreting Verge’s domains in diverse ways. From rigid categorization to a more flexible and overlapping understanding of human experience. Frameworks that allow for fluid interpretation will dominate, enhancing creativity in futures studies. The necessity for adaptable tools in a rapidly changing world. 5
Integration of Multiple Frameworks The Verge framework is combined with other futures methods for deeper insights. From isolated methods to integrated approaches in futures analysis. A standard practice of using combined frameworks will emerge, enriching foresight practices. The complexity of future challenges necessitates multi-faceted analytical tools. 5
Normative Futures Work Potential for using Verge in normative futures discussions among stakeholders. From descriptive analysis to participatory, normative futures work involving multiple stakeholders. Stakeholder engagement in futures work will be essential, fostering collaborative visions for the future. The need for collaborative problem-solving in addressing future challenges. 4

Concerns

name description relevancy
Fluid Interpretations of Frameworks The fluid and overlapping definitions of the Verge domains may lead to inconsistent applications and interpretations among practitioners. 3
Diverse Stakeholder Engagement Different stakeholders might have conflicting visions for the future, leading to challenges in discourse and achieving a shared vision. 4
Inadequate Structure for Complex Issues The potential complexity of social and technological changes might not be effectively captured by the Verge framework compared to structured methods like STEEP. 4
Impact of Disconnection As social structures evolve, disconnection could increase among people, leading to social fragmentation and isolation. 4
Consumer Behavior Implications Changing consumer preferences and purchasing powers may disrupt existing business models and social structures. 4
Destructive Forces in Society Acting to destroy norms or values could have severe implications for societal structure and cohesion. 5

Behaviors

name description relevancy
Anthropomorphizing Scanning Using human-centered lenses to perceive and understand changes in the world, focusing on lived experiences. 5
Fluid Domain Interpretation Practitioners reinterpreting and redefining framework domains, allowing for versatile applications in various contexts. 4
Rich Imagery in Foresight Generating vivid details of real-life experiences to make future scenarios more relatable and tangible. 5
Cross-Domain Interaction Analysis Analyzing the cascading effects of changes across different domains to generate comprehensive scenarios. 4
Normative Futures Work Engaging stakeholders to articulate preferred futures, fostering dialogue and shared visions through the framework. 5
Combining Frameworks Integrating Verge with other methodologies for layered and multifaceted analyses of future changes. 4

Technologies

description relevancy src
A framework for environmental scanning and futures research, emphasizing human experience through six domains: Define, Relate, Connect, Create, Consume, and Destroy. 5 33405ea7f8c6b4a997c1f3eeb8ef661f
A method within the Verge framework used to identify and forecast potential emerging issues based on weak signals. 4 33405ea7f8c6b4a997c1f3eeb8ef661f
A forecasting method that examines the impact of changes across different domains within the Verge framework. 4 33405ea7f8c6b4a997c1f3eeb8ef661f
A method that combines multiple perspectives of change with the Verge framework for deeper insights. 3 33405ea7f8c6b4a997c1f3eeb8ef661f
A futures method used in conjunction with the Verge framework to explore different potential futures. 3 33405ea7f8c6b4a997c1f3eeb8ef661f

Issues

name description relevancy
Fluidity in Framework Interpretation The potential for varied interpretations of the Verge domains, leading to rich discussions but also ambiguity in application. 4
Normative Futures Work The trend of using frameworks like Verge to engage stakeholders in discussing their preferred futures and fostering compromise. 5
Impact of Technology on Social Connections The evolving role of technology in shaping how we connect, which can influence social structures and relationships. 4
Cross-Domain Interactions The cascading effects of changes in one domain impacting others, highlighting the interconnectedness of societal issues. 5
Emerging Issues Analysis The practice of identifying and forecasting potential emerging issues within the context of the Verge framework. 4
Ethnographic Futures Framework The increasing recognition of the ethnographic approach in futures studies, emphasizing human experiences and societal relationships. 4