The text discusses the decrease in prices of World War 2 era slide rules and the nostalgia associated with them. It highlights the advantages of slide rules as an elegant computing solution that requires no power and lasts forever. The text contrasts the use of slide rules with the current approach of relying on computer simulations in engineering. It criticizes the over-reliance on simulations and the lack of understanding of basic principles among engineers. The text also touches on the issue of lazy thinking and the negative impact of over-simulation on industries and the standard of living. It questions the use of artificial intelligence and raises concerns about the potential consequences of relying too heavily on it.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prices of World War 2 era slide rules have fallen | Decrease in slide rule prices | Slide rules may become obsolete | Decline in demand and nostalgia |
| Engineers relying on computer simulations | Over-reliance on simulations | Lack of high-level insights and understanding | Desire for accuracy and convenience |
| Lazy and insufficient interest in thinking | Lack of critical thinking and problem-solving | Decreased emphasis on thinking and more reliance on simulations | Laziness or lack of interest in exploring alternative methods |
| Perennial issue of over-simulation | Overuse of simulation tools | Decreased efficiency and standard of living | Lack of understanding of the big picture and inefficiency |
| Application of artificial intelligence to problem-solving | Increased reliance on AI | Further disconnection from understanding how things work | Desire for automation and efficiency |
| Potential negative consequences of AI reliance | Potential negative effects of AI usage | Increased reliance on AI may lead to further problems | Laziness and irresponsibility in seeking solutions |