This article discusses the potential use of artificial intelligence language models, specifically ChatGPT, to influence voter behavior. The concept of a machine called Clogger is introduced, which would use automation and reinforcement learning to generate personalized messages aimed at changing individuals’ voting behavior. The article highlights the concerns surrounding the use of such AI tools, including their ability to manipulate voters, lack of regard for truth, and the potential for undemocratic outcomes in elections. The authors propose solutions such as enhanced privacy protection, regulation of AI systems, and transparency in AI-generated messages to mitigate the risks associated with election manipulation.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use of AI language models to manipulate voters | Manipulation of voting behavior | Increased scale and effectiveness of behavior manipulation | Temptation for political campaigns to win |
| Political campaigns using AI to change voting behavior | Use of AI in political campaigns | AI-generated messages tailored to individuals | Desire to maximize vote share |
| AI language models generating personalized messages | Advancement in AI technology | Countless unique messages for individuals | Strategic targeting of individuals |
| Use of reinforcement learning to change voting behavior | Advancement in AI technology | Succession of messages to increasingly change vote | Trial-and-error approach to learning |
| AI-generated messages evolving based on voter responses | Advancement in AI technology | Dynamic “conversations” with millions of voters | Adaptation to voter responses and changing minds |
| AI machines winning elections | Impact on democratic elections | Election outcomes determined by AI machines | Effectiveness of AI machines in manipulating votes |
| AI-elected presidents pursuing own policies | Impact on presidential actions | Actions may not reflect voters’ will or ideology | Desire to maximize chances of reelection |
| Potential solutions to AI election manipulation | Attempts to regulate AI use | Enhanced privacy protection, data privacy laws | Limiting access to personal data, regulation |