Futures

Understanding the PPEPSIII Framework: Navigating Sustainability and Human Progress from 2030 to 2060, (from page 20240317.)

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Themes

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Summary

The PPEPSIII framework provides a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and drivers influencing the future from 2030 to 2060. It highlights the tension between achieving planetary sustainability and improving human living standards. The framework emphasizes the need for innovation while navigating the complexities of existing economic, political, social, and information systems. It identifies four core systems that mediate human relationships with each other and the planet: economic, political, social, and information systems. The roles of innovation and infrastructure are critical, as they influence how societies adapt to changes and integrate new technologies. Ultimately, the framework aims to guide societies towards sustainable prosperity while addressing systemic limitations.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
Tension between Planetary Boundaries and Human Needs Struggle to meet human standards while respecting planetary limits. From overshooting planetary boundaries to finding a sustainable balance for all. Society will likely adopt models that prioritize both human welfare and environmental sustainability. Urgent need to innovate and reform systems for sustainable living. 4
System Debt from Old Infrastructures Existing infrastructures slow down the adoption of new innovations. From rapid innovation to a more cautious, deliberative integration process. Innovations will require significant restructuring of existing infrastructures to be effective. The complexity and interdependence of systems impede quick adoption of new ideas. 3
Emergence of New Governance Models Societies are exploring innovative governance structures to address complex challenges. From traditional power structures to more adaptive and collaborative governance models. Governance will likely be more decentralized and responsive to societal needs and planetary limits. The necessity for effective responses to global challenges demands new governance approaches. 4
Integration of Information Systems in Society Communication systems evolve to mediate human relations and societal functions. From basic communication to advanced, integrated information systems that shape society. Information systems will play a crucial role in shaping societal norms and behaviors. The advancement of technology and communication methods enhances societal interconnectivity. 5
Complexification of Innovations New innovations become entangled within existing societal frameworks. From straightforward adoption of innovations to navigating complex societal integrations. Adoption of innovations will require extensive consideration of existing social structures. The need to harmonize new ideas with established practices and beliefs. 3

Concerns

name description relevancy
Tension between Human Needs and Planetary Limits The challenge of improving human living standards while staying within environmental constraints may lead to resource depletion and social unrest. 5
Systemic Infrastructure Debt Existing infrastructures slow the integration of new innovations, causing stagnation in societal progress and potential backlash against modernization. 4
Inequality in Access to Resources The failure to provide a minimum living standard for all may exacerbate socio-economic disparities, leading to social tensions and conflict. 5
Complexity of Innovation Integration The intricate entanglement of innovations with existing systems could hinder necessary technological advancements and adaptations. 4
Political Instability From Unaddressed Tensions Failure to adequately navigate the tensions between economic, political, and social systems may result in governance challenges and political instability. 5
Communication Gaps in Societal Functions Relying on outdated communication systems may create misunderstandings and hinder the cooperative efforts needed for sustainable progress. 3

Behaviors

name description relevancy
Balancing Human Needs and Planetary Boundaries Society is increasingly focused on finding ways to meet basic human needs while respecting environmental limits. 5
Integration of Innovations into Established Infrastructures New innovations are being integrated into existing systems, but face challenges due to ‘system debt’ and entrenched infrastructures. 4
Complexification of Societal Systems The interactions among economic, political, social, and information systems are becoming more complex as they evolve together. 4
Focus on Sustainable Prosperity There is a growing emphasis on creating systems that allow for sustainably prosperous living for all. 5
Navigating Tensions Among Systems Efforts to innovate must consider the competing agendas and tensions across various societal systems. 4
Evolving Definitions of Infrastructure Infrastructure is being redefined to include not just physical elements but also social, political, and informational structures. 3

Technologies

description relevancy src
Innovations aimed at enabling humanity to live within planetary boundaries while improving living standards. 5 53d21612f5fa1e98344ade38e6b005f0
Advancements in communication and information systems that mediate human relationships and societal functioning. 4 53d21612f5fa1e98344ade38e6b005f0
Innovations that enhance social systems, reflecting culture and values in relation to the planet. 4 53d21612f5fa1e98344ade38e6b005f0
Innovative approaches to economic systems that address basic needs and societal prosperity. 5 53d21612f5fa1e98344ade38e6b005f0
New governance models and power structures aimed at enhancing cooperation and addressing societal challenges. 4 53d21612f5fa1e98344ade38e6b005f0
The process of scaling innovations that transform various societal systems into critical infrastructures. 5 53d21612f5fa1e98344ade38e6b005f0

Issues

name description relevancy
Tension between Planetary Boundaries and Human Needs The challenge of balancing sustainable living within planetary limits while improving the human condition for billions. 5
System Debt in Innovation Adoption The complexity and slow integration of new innovations due to existing infrastructures, creating a form of ‘system debt’. 4
Interconnectedness of Economic, Political, and Social Systems The necessity to navigate tensions among economic, political, and social systems to achieve preferred futures. 4
Role of Information Systems in Society The critical role that information systems play in shaping societal relations and governance structures. 3
Innovation and Infrastructure Dynamics The dual role of innovations as transformative agents and the constraints imposed by existing infrastructures. 4
Minimum Living Standards vs. Environmental Sustainability The ongoing struggle to establish a minimum living standard for all while remaining within environmental limits. 5