Futures

2023 Roadshow Highlights: Addressing Cascading Climate Risks and Policy Responses in Europe and Beyond, (from page 20230708.)

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Themes

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Summary

The 2023 Roadshow focused on the cascading impacts of climate change and policy responses in Europe and beyond. It covered various topics including climate adaptation, transboundary water management, and political stability in the Middle East, as well as the implications of Arctic climate change. The conference highlighted the need for resilience to cross-border climate risks, with specific discussions on the Euphrates-Tigris basin and scenarios for its climate vulnerability. Recent blog posts addressed crisis response strategies in the Central Sahel and explored how Europe can manage climate risks originating from outside its borders.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
Cascading climate impacts Recognition of interconnected climate risks affecting multiple regions simultaneously. Shift from isolated climate responses to integrated, cross-border strategies. Increased collaboration between countries to manage transboundary climate challenges. Urgent need for countries to address shared climate vulnerabilities collaboratively. 4
Arctic security concerns Growing awareness of security implications due to climate change in the Arctic region. From neglect of Arctic issues to proactive international policies addressing climate impact. Development of comprehensive Arctic governance frameworks focused on climate resilience. Geopolitical interests and environmental changes prompting a reevaluation of Arctic policies. 4
Transboundary water management Emerging focus on cooperative strategies for managing shared water resources under climate stress. Transition from unilateral water management to cooperative frameworks among nations. Establishment of regional agreements ensuring sustainable water use amidst climate change. Increased competition for dwindling water resources due to climate impacts. 5
Vulnerability scenarios in the Euphrates-Tigris basin Exploration of different vulnerability conditions for climate-affected regions. From a one-size-fits-all approach to tailored strategies for specific regional vulnerabilities. Enhanced resilience strategies based on specific conditions and opportunities in the basin. Need for targeted responses to diverse impacts of climate change on local communities. 5
Crisis response and development partnerships Emerging strategies combining crisis management with sustainable development in climate risk areas. Shift from reactive crisis management to proactive development partnerships. Sustainable development integrated into climate crisis response frameworks across regions. Recognition that development and climate resilience are interconnected for long-term stability. 4

Concerns

name description relevancy
Cascading Climate Impacts The interconnected effects of climate change that may exceed geographical borders and create widespread instability. 5
Political Stability and Climate Change The potential for climate change to exacerbate political tensions and instability, especially in vulnerable regions like the Middle East and Central Sahel. 5
Transboundary Water Management Challenges in managing shared water resources due to climate change impacts on river basins, leading to conflicts and humanitarian crises. 4
Systemic Risks from Climate Change Inability to effectively address complex interactions between climate and social systems, leading to unexpected crises. 5
Regional Adaptation Financing Insufficient funding and support for countries to adapt to climate risks, hindering resilience and development efforts. 4
Security Implications of Climate Vulnerability The threat climate vulnerability poses to national and regional security, particularly in areas like the Euphrates-Tigris Basin. 5
Crisis Response Integration The need for integrating crisis response strategies with development initiatives to effectively tackle climate-related challenges. 4

Behaviors

name description relevancy
Cascading Climate Risk Awareness Growing recognition of interconnected climate impacts that cross borders and affect multiple regions. 5
Transboundary Water Management Increased focus on collaborative water resource management among countries to address climate-induced challenges. 4
Scenario Planning for Vulnerability Development of scenarios to assess and prepare for varying vulnerability conditions in specific regions affected by climate change. 4
Crisis Response and Development Integration Combining crisis response strategies with sustainable development partnerships to tackle climate risks effectively. 5
Political Stability in Climate Adaptation Understanding the interlinkages between climate adaptation efforts and political stability, especially in vulnerable regions. 4
International Climate Policy Collaboration Emerging collaborations among nations to address cross-border climate change impacts and systemic risks. 5

Technologies

name description relevancy
Cascading Climate Impacts Management Strategies to address interconnected climate risks that cross geographical and political boundaries. 4
Transboundary Water Management Cooperative approaches for managing water resources shared by multiple countries in the context of climate change. 5
Climate Vulnerability Assessment Frameworks to analyze and mitigate vulnerabilities in regions affected by climate change, such as the Euphrates-Tigris basin. 4
Climate Adaptation Financing Innovative financing mechanisms to support adaptation efforts against cascading climate risks. 5
Crisis Response Development Partnerships Collaborative frameworks that integrate crisis management with sustainable development to tackle climate challenges. 4

Issues

name description relevancy
Cascading Climate Risks The interconnected impacts of climate change across borders, affecting resilience and responses. 5
Transboundary Water Management Challenges and strategies for managing shared water resources in the context of climate change. 4
Climate Vulnerability in Central Sahel The specific vulnerabilities and security implications of climate change in the Central Sahel region. 4
Arctic Climate Change Impacts The geopolitical and environmental consequences of climate change in the Arctic region. 4
Political Stability and Climate Adaptation in the Middle East The relationship between climate adaptation strategies and political stability in Middle Eastern nations. 3
Systemic Risks from Climate Change The broader systemic risks posed by climate change to societies and economies in Europe and beyond. 5