The article discusses the AI business and its implications. The author mentions the limitations of AI development and the need for regulation to address issues like market power and bias. The comparison is made between the AI industry and other industries like the steel industry and software applications. The author predicts that AI may not drive the next technology surge. The article also explores how golf has become popular during working from home. A study suggests that playing golf during the week may actually improve productivity. The article concludes with a mention of the next technology surge being possibly driven by synthetic biology or transformative materials technology.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI as a business | Shift in perception | AI companies will be required to prove safety before release, regulation on market power, critics become more vocal | Increased concern over ethics and potential harm |
| Golf’s popularity during remote work | Change in leisure activities | Increased golf trips and weekday golf playing during work hours | Productivity benefits of leisure activities during WFH |