The use of generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools, such as ChatGPT, is becoming increasingly popular among researchers in various fields. These tools assist in writing research papers, suggesting clearer ways to convey ideas, and reducing the time spent on manuscript preparation. Science publishers are also exploring the use of generative AI in scientific search tools, editing, and summarizing papers. While generative AI has the potential to transform scientific communication and publishing, concerns about inaccuracies and the production of poor-quality manuscripts have been raised. Additionally, there are ethical considerations regarding the use of generative AI, including issues of plagiarism and copyright infringement. Despite these concerns, many researchers believe that generative AI can improve equity in science, particularly for non-native English speakers. Overall, generative AI tools have the potential to revolutionize scientific publishing, but careful evaluation and guidelines are necessary to ensure their responsible and ethical use.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| Researchers using generative AI tools for writing | From manual writing to AI-assisted writing | More researchers using AI tools for writing and editing | Efficiency and productivity |
| Concerns about poor-quality or fake manuscripts | From reliable manuscripts to potential increase in poor-quality or fake manuscripts | Improved AI detection tools and guidelines for disclosure and watermarking | Maintaining research integrity |
| Generative AI tools improving equity in science | From language barriers to improved equity for non-native English speakers | Non-native English speakers benefitting from AI tools for writing and editing | Enhancing accessibility and inclusivity |
| Challenges in peer review with LLMs | From traditional peer review to AI-assisted peer review | Peer reviewers using AI tools to enhance their reviews | Efficiency and accuracy in peer review |
| Potential changes in research publishing | From static and traditional publishing to interactive and tailored publication formats | Interactive and personalized research publication formats | Advancements in technology and user needs |