Futures

The Dominance of AI in Animation, from (20221204.)

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Summary

The text discusses how AI is predicted to completely dominate the animation industry within the next five years. It highlights that AI animation is already superior to human animation and that major studios are starting to utilize AI in production. The text emphasizes that animators and artists may have less than five years to build their careers due to advancements in AI art models and AI animation models. It states that AI-based animations are cheaper, faster, and require less manpower compared to traditional hand-drawn or computer-generated animations. The text also mentions the emergence of animation models and Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) technology in the industry. Overall, it suggests that AI will replace animators and artists, leading to a significant impact on the job market.

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Signals

Signal Change 10y horizon Driving force
AI animation outperforming humans Job loss or reduced pay for animators AI dominates animation industry Advancements in AI technology
AI-based animations are cheaper and faster AI replaces human animators and illustrators AI-generated animations become the norm Cost and time efficiency
Animation models bridge the gap to full video AI Two-step pipeline for generating animations Animation agencies shift to AI-generated images Development of complete video AI
Animation models don’t need to be perfect Rough line drafts decrease time for animators Increased accessibility and capacity for artists Efficiency and accessibility
Neural Radiance Fields improve 3D rendering Pressure on animators and keyframers Increased realism and efficiency Advancements in 3D rendering technology
AI may replace animators in the future Impact on job market and artistic abundance Shift towards AI-generated art and animation Advancements in AI technology and creative freedom

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