Futures

Oregon’s Chronic Absenteeism Rates Among Students Highlight Challenges Post-Pandemic, (from page 20260104.)

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Summary

Oregon has one of the highest rates of student chronic absenteeism in the U.S., with 33% of public school students missing over 17 days annually. This is significantly higher than the national average of 21%. Although absenteeism declined slightly from 38% in 2022-2023 to 34% in the following year, Governor Tina Kotek emphasized that the rate is unacceptable and linked to academic outcomes. Factors contributing to absenteeism include housing insecurity and immigration-related fears. The state plans to improve data collection and monitoring, while initiatives like a cell phone ban in schools aim to enhance attendance. Some districts have reported modest improvements in absenteeism, but the state still aims to set standardized targets and interventions for long-term improvement.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
High Chronic Absenteeism Rate in Oregon Oregon has a chronic absenteeism rate of 33%, one of the highest in the US. From a national average of 21% to 33% in Oregon, indicating worsening attendance issues. Potential reforms may lead to improved school attendance and academic performance by 2034. Rising housing insecurity and recent federal immigration actions are contributing to absenteeism. 4
Real-Time Data Monitoring Gap Oregon lacks real-time tracking for student attendance, hindering timely interventions. From yearly data release to biannual monitoring, allowing for more immediate interventions. By 2034, real-time monitoring could significantly reduce absenteeism and improve academic outcomes. Demand for responsive data systems for education to address attendance issues. 5
Legislative Resistance to Accountability A failed bill aimed to improve attendance data reporting standards in Oregon. From inconsistent data reporting to potential standardized quarterly reporting for accountability. Standardized data could enhance state intervention strategies and reduce absenteeism rates dramatically. The need for educational accountability and transparency to improve student outcomes. 3
Impact of Cell Phone Ban in Schools An executive order banning cell phones may help improve attendance amid mixed evidence. From unrestricted cell phone use to a ban aiming to foster sociable environments in schools. By 2034, school environments may be less distracting, leading to improved student engagement and attendance. Research-driven approaches to improving student focus and attendance in schools. 2
Extracurricular Ties to Attendance Certain schools tie attendance to participation in sports and extracurricular activities. From unlinked attendance to encouraging attendance through incentives like athletics. Incentive structures could create a culture of attendance responsibility among students by 2034. Encouraging student participation in school via extracurricular engagement to boost attendance. 3
Optimism in Early Grades Elementary absenteeism rates are showing improvement post-pandemic. From rising absentee rates to a declining trend among younger grades in Oregon. If trends continue, early education engagement may positively impact long-term academic success by 2034. Focused interventions targeting early education before issues manifest in higher grades. 4
Community Involvement in Attendance Solutions Individualized support for attendance issues seen in certain high schools like Grant High. From generalized student approaches to personalized family and student interventions. By 2034, community-driven strategies may significantly lower absenteeism and promote academic success. Community engagement and support systems are critical for addressing student challenges. 4
Diverse Student Engagement Growth Black and Latino students are showing more progress toward graduation in Oregon. From overall low graduation rates to incremental improvement in specific demographics. By 2034, targeted programs may ensure more students from these demographics graduate on time. The push for equity in education ensures better outcomes for marginalized students. 4

Concerns

name description
Chronic Absenteeism Oregon’s chronic absenteeism rate at 33% post-pandemic can hinder educational outcomes and long-term success for students.
Impact of Immigration Policies Increased federal immigration actions may contribute to absenteeism among families of color, affecting children’s school attendance.
Lack of Real-Time Data Oregon’s inability to track attendance data in real-time prevents timely interventions to address high absenteeism rates.
Limitations of Data Reporting The failure to enact a bill for more frequent reporting of absenteeism data indicates a governance issue in addressing educational challenges.
Uncertain Effectiveness of Cell Phone Bans The efficacy of cell phone bans on attendance improvement lacks robust research, presenting potential concerns about implementation impact.
Long-Term Academic Impact Chronic absenteeism correlates with lower graduation rates, impacting students’ future opportunities in education and employment.
Delayed Educational Interventions The timeline for state interventions may not be quick enough to address the current attendance crisis effectively.
Potential Inequities in Education Absenteeism trends may highlight disparities in educational access and success for marginalized communities.

Behaviors

name description
Parental Involvement in Attendance Solutions Schools increasing parent engagement through individual meetings and home visits to address attendance issues.
Data Standardization and Frequency Improvement Initiatives to design a standardized attendance reporting system, aiming for real-time data to better address absenteeism.
Attendance Tied to Extracurricular Participation Linking student attendance to participation in sports and extracurricular activities as a motivational strategy.
Community-Based Support for Attendance Addressing chronic absenteeism by tackling underlying issues like housing insecurity and immigration concerns.
Technological Integration in Monitoring Attendance Utilizing tools like student Canvas accounts to notify students of their attendance status and consequences.
Cell Phone Policy Impact on Social Environment Banning cell phones in schools to foster sociability and potentially improve attendance rates.
Targeted Support for At-Risk Groups Focusing efforts on improving attendance rates among historically underperforming student groups such as Black and Latino students.
Community Engagement in Education Decisions Local stakeholders being involved in setting academic outcome targets, potentially leading to tailored interventions.

Technologies

name description
Real-time Attendance Monitoring Systems that track student attendance in real time to facilitate timely interventions and data analysis.
Standardized Data Reporting Systems Efforts to develop a consistent approach for collecting and reporting attendance data across school districts.
Cell Phone Bans in Schools Policies that prohibit personal mobile devices in educational settings, aimed at improving student engagement and attendance.
Data-Driven Interventions in Education Using collected data to implement targeted strategies for improving chronic absenteeism and academic performance.
Home Visit Strategies by Educators Engagement efforts where educators visit students’ homes to address attendance barriers and foster communication with families.

Issues

name description
Chronic Absenteeism in Oregon Oregon has a significantly high rate of student chronic absenteeism, affecting educational outcomes.
Impact of Immigration Policy on Education Increased federal immigration actions are leading families to keep children home, affecting attendance.
Data Tracking Limitations Lack of real-time tracking for attendance data hampers understanding of absenteeism causes and impacts.
Cell Phone Policy in Schools New policies banning cell phones may impact student attendance, with mixed evidence of effectiveness.
State Intervention on Education Metrics Future potential state interventions for chronic absenteeism and academic outcomes may significantly affect local districts.
Barriers to Student Attendance Individual barriers affecting attendance are being addressed through tailored programs in schools.
Extracurricular Participation Tied to Attendance Linking attendance to participation in sports and activities shows varying success in improving attendance rates.
Progress in Underrepresented Student Groups Improvement in on-track graduation rates among Black and Latino students indicates positive trends in addressing disparities.