This article discusses the impact of cars on cities and the efforts to promote alternative modes of transportation. It highlights that while cars can be a nuisance due to traffic congestion and the space they require, the world still heavily relies on driving. The study mentioned in the article shows regional variations in transport patterns, with North America having a high car dependency. In contrast, Asia’s big cities have low car usage, and Europe shows a more diverse mix of transport modes. The article also emphasizes the negative impact of pro-car policies and subsidies in North America on active mobility. However, there is a growing global movement to promote walkability and reduce car usage, driven by concerns for the environment and public health. Despite the increasing number of cars globally, there is a recognition of the need for change to address congestion and promote sustainable transportation options.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cars dominate in North America | Shift from car dependence to alternative modes of transport | Increased adoption of walking, cycling & public transport | Desire for more sustainable, healthier, and greener transportation options |
| Walkability and “15-minute cities” promoted | Promotion of walkability and access to amenities without cars | Increased emphasis on walkability and accessible amenities | Desire to create more livable, sustainable, and pedestrian-friendly cities |
| Regional variations in transport modes | Differences in transport patterns across regions | More uniform and diversified use of transport modes across the world | Cultural and infrastructure differences shaping transport preferences |
| Active travel usage in cities | Variations in the use of active modes of travel | More cities adopting and promoting walking and cycling | Efforts to improve public health, reduce congestion, and mitigate pollution |
| Larger and richer cities favor car travel | Correlation between city size, income, and car usage | Reduction in car dependence as income levels increase | Impetus to decrease reliance on cars for environmental and health reasons |
| Shift towards car-free policies and infrastructure | Transition from cars to greener transportation options | More cities implementing car-free policies and infrastructure | Desire for environmentally friendly and sustainable urban planning |
| Recognition of need for change in the face of rising congestion | Realization of the need for alternative transportation solutions | Increased efforts to address congestion and promote sustainable transport | Growing awareness of the negative impacts of car-centric urban development |
| Potential for “Peak car” and decline in car ownership | Eventual decline in the number of motor vehicles globally | Decrease in car ownership due to changing transportation preferences | Recognition of the need to address congestion and emissions from car usage |