Futures

Global Internet Connectivity Report: 2.9 Billion People Remain Offline in 2021, (from page 20221210.)

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Summary

In 2021, approximately 2.9 billion people, or 37% of the global population, have never used the Internet, according to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU). While global internet usage has surged to 4.9 billion, with a significant increase in developing countries, disparities remain stark. An estimated 96% of those still offline live in developing nations, and many of the online users face limited connectivity. The pandemic contributed to a notable increase in internet users, particularly in Least Developed Countries (LDCs), where the digital divide is pronounced, especially affecting women and rural populations. Despite the progress, barriers such as poverty, illiteracy, and high connectivity costs hinder efforts to bridge the digital divide, emphasizing the need for targeted solutions to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals by 2030.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
COVID Connectivity Boost A surge in Internet users due to pandemic-related needs. From significant offline populations to increased connectivity driven by necessity during the pandemic. Increased global connectivity, with fewer people offline and improved digital access in developing regions. The pandemic highlighted the necessity for digital access for information, services, and economic activities. 4
Connectivity Chasm in LDCs A vast gap remains in Internet access among Least Developed Countries. From growing global connectivity to persistent exclusion in LDCs, particularly affecting women. Increased focus on bridging the digital divide, particularly in marginalized communities in LDCs. Global efforts to achieve SDGs may drive initiatives to enhance digital connectivity in LDCs. 5
Urban-Rural Internet Disparity Significant differences in Internet usage between urban and rural populations. From better urban connectivity to stark rural exclusion in developing regions. Potential rural digital initiatives to reduce disparities, fostering economic opportunities in rural areas. Need for equitable development and economic opportunities across urban and rural areas. 4
Generational Digital Divide Younger populations exhibit higher Internet usage compared to older age groups. From uniform internet usage to a generation gap favoring younger users. Younger generations will increasingly drive digital transformation, influencing industries and job markets. The natural inclination of younger individuals towards technology and the internet. 4
Affordability Barrier for Connectivity High costs hinder Internet access in developing countries. From potential access to actual exclusion based on affordability. Increased efforts to make Internet access affordable could lead to higher global connectivity rates. Global initiatives for affordable digital access, especially in low-income nations, drive change. 5

Concerns

name description relevancy
Digital Divide in Access to Internet A significant portion of the global population remains offline, particularly in developing countries, hindering equitable access to information and opportunities. 5
Gender Inequality in Internet Usage Women in Least Developed Countries (LDCs) face significant challenges in accessing the Internet, affecting their opportunities and rights. 4
Urban-Rural Connectivity Gap Urban dwellers have much higher Internet access than rural populations, exacerbating existing inequalities between these communities. 4
Generational Disparities in Internet Usage Young people are more likely to be online compared to older generations, which could lead to widening gaps in digital literacy and skills. 3
Affordability of Internet Services High costs of Internet access and devices in poorer nations hinder connectivity, perpetuating the digital divide. 5
Digital Skills Gap Lack of digital literacy and awareness prevents many individuals from utilizing available Internet connections, limiting their potential. 4
Content Accessibility and Language Barriers Insufficient online content in local languages and formats excludes non-literate populations from benefits of the Internet. 3
Impact of COVID-19 on Internet Usage The pandemic has spurred growth in online connectivity but may lead to temporary spikes rather than sustained progress. 4

Behaviors

name description relevancy
COVID Connectivity Boost The pandemic accelerated internet usage, bringing 782 million people online due to lockdowns and remote needs. 5
Urban-Rural Connectivity Disparity Significant differences in internet usage between urban and rural populations, especially in developing countries. 4
Digital Gender Divide The gap between male and female internet users is narrowing, but remains significant in poorer countries. 4
Generational Digital Divide Younger populations show higher internet usage rates, indicating a potential increase in digital engagement as they enter the workforce. 5
Affordability Barrier High costs of internet access and devices in poorer nations hinder connectivity despite network availability. 5
Digital Skills Gap Lack of digital literacy and skills among populations limits their ability to utilize internet services effectively. 4
Content Accessibility Issues Scarcity of content in local languages and literacy requirements create barriers for many potential internet users. 4

Technologies

name description relevancy
Digital Solutions for Connectivity Innovative technologies aimed at addressing the digital divide and promoting sustainable development. 5
Affordable Broadband Connectivity Initiatives Programs focused on providing low-cost internet access to underserved populations, particularly in developing countries. 5
Mobile Broadband Technologies (3G/4G) Advancements in mobile broadband networks that enhance access to the internet, especially in rural areas. 4
Digital Skills Training Programs Initiatives designed to improve digital literacy and skills among populations with limited access to technology. 4
Localized Content and Language Interfaces Developing digital content in local languages to increase accessibility for non-literate populations. 4

Issues

name description relevancy
Digital Divide in Developing Countries A significant gap in internet access persists, particularly in developing countries, affecting economic growth and social equity. 5
Gender Inequality in Internet Access Digital gender divide remains pronounced in poorer nations, with women disproportionately offline, impacting their opportunities and empowerment. 5
Urban-Rural Connectivity Gap People in urban areas are far more likely to be online compared to those in rural areas, limiting rural development and access. 4
Generational Digital Divide Younger populations are more connected than older generations, potentially leading to a workforce disparity in digital skills. 4
Affordability of Internet Access High costs of devices and services in low-income countries hinder internet access, exacerbating the digital divide. 5
Need for Localized Content Lack of content in local languages and interfaces that require literacy limits internet use among marginalized populations. 4
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Impact The digital exclusion of vulnerable communities threatens progress towards achieving the UN SDGs by 2030. 5