Futures

The Environmental Risks and Global Opposition to Deep Sea Mining, (from page 20230623.)

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Themes

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Summary

Deep sea mining involves extracting metals and minerals from the ocean’s seabed, using large machines to scoop deposits from depths of thousands of meters. This emerging industry poses significant environmental risks, potentially harming marine ecosystems and contributing to climate change. Despite no large-scale mining having yet occurred, companies are eager to exploit these resources for profit, particularly for metals needed in battery production. Opposition is growing globally, with various countries, businesses, and scientists advocating for a ban or moratorium on deep sea mining due to its destructive potential. The deep ocean is vital for climate regulation and biodiversity, and mining could irreversibly damage these crucial environments.

Signals

name description change 10-year driving-force relevancy
Emerging deep sea mining industry Deep sea mining is a new industry preparing for full-scale production despite environmental risks. From minimal activity and testing to potential large-scale extraction of seabed resources. If allowed to proceed, deep sea mining could become a significant industry impacting marine ecosystems. The demand for metals for energy transition and technology drives companies to explore seabed mining. 4
Growing international opposition An increasing number of countries and companies are opposing deep sea mining initiatives. From support or indifference to active opposition against deep sea mining practices. In ten years, this opposition could lead to stricter regulations or complete bans on deep sea mining. Concerns over environmental degradation and biodiversity loss motivate opposition from various stakeholders. 5
Technological advancements in mining Development of massive machines for deep sea mining raises concerns about their environmental impact. From traditional land mining techniques to advanced underwater mining technologies. These technologies could lead to greater exploitation of marine resources and irreversible ecological damage. The pursuit of profit and resource extraction drives innovation in mining technologies. 3
Potential for global moratorium Countries are proposing a pause or ban on deep sea mining licenses amid environmental concerns. From unrestricted exploration to potential restrictions or moratoriums on deep sea mining. A global moratorium could alter the landscape of ocean resource management and conservation efforts. International environmental advocacy and treaties push for sustainable ocean practices. 4
Impact on Indigenous communities Deep sea mining threatens the livelihoods and cultural ties of Pacific Indigenous communities. From stable marine ecosystems to potential disruption of food sources and cultural heritage. Indigenous communities could face significant socio-economic challenges and loss of cultural identity. The intersection of environmental justice and Indigenous rights fuels advocacy against deep sea mining. 5

Concerns

name description relevancy
Environmental Destruction Deep sea mining poses an extreme risk of destroying marine ecosystems and biodiversity, which could have irreparable consequences. 5
Climate Impact Mining activities threaten the ocean’s ability to absorb carbon dioxide and regulate climate, potentially worsening the climate crisis. 5
Cultural Disruption Indigenous coastal communities relying on marine resources for their livelihood and culture may suffer severe impacts from deep sea mining. 4
Pollution Spread Mining operations are likely to create pollution plumes that can harm marine life over significant distances. 4
Unproven Safety Deep sea mining companies have not demonstrated safe operational methods, raising concerns about their environmental impact. 4
Regulatory Weakness Existing legislation and governance frameworks may not adequately protect the ocean from the imminent threat of mining. 4
Global Inequity The secretive nature of the industry may benefit wealthier nations at the expense of developing coastal communities vulnerable to ecological changes. 3
Noise Pollution The noise from mining activities may disrupt communication for marine mammals, leading to detrimental effects on their populations. 3
Dependence on Unsustainable Practices Mining seabeds for metals without improving recycling methods contributes to ongoing resource depletion and environmental harm. 4

Behaviors

name description relevancy
Environmental Advocacy Growing international opposition to deep sea mining reflects a collective movement towards protecting marine ecosystems and advocating for sustainable practices. 5
Corporate Responsibility Businesses, such as major automotive and tech companies, are committing to avoid minerals sourced from deep sea mining, indicating a shift towards sustainable sourcing. 4
Regulatory Scrutiny Governments are increasingly scrutinizing deep sea mining activities, with calls for moratoriums and bans highlighting a shift in regulatory approaches. 5
Community Impact Awareness Raising awareness about the impacts of deep sea mining on vulnerable coastal communities, especially Indigenous Peoples, signifies a growing focus on social justice. 4
Sustainable Alternatives Promotion Advocacy for improved recycling and reduced dependence on mining indicates a shift towards promoting sustainable alternatives to resource extraction. 4
Global Collaboration for Ocean Conservation International agreements like the Global Ocean Treaty showcase a collaborative effort to safeguard ocean health amidst exploitation pressures. 5
Scientific Opposition A significant number of scientists opposing deep sea mining signifies a growing reliance on scientific research to influence policy and public opinion. 4
Crisis Response to Climate Change The emphasis on the ocean’s role in climate change mitigation highlights a behavioral shift towards recognizing and protecting vital ecosystems in climate strategies. 5

Technologies

description relevancy src
The extraction of metals and minerals from the ocean’s seabed using large machinery, aiming to meet industrial demands. 4 bccb58e39d04eb0ca494d80ca20e6a67
Advanced technologies for exploring the deep ocean floor to identify mineral deposits. 3 bccb58e39d04eb0ca494d80ca20e6a67
Technologies to monitor the ecological impacts of deep sea mining activities on marine ecosystems. 4 bccb58e39d04eb0ca494d80ca20e6a67
Innovative methods to minimize ecological damage during mineral extraction processes. 5 bccb58e39d04eb0ca494d80ca20e6a67
Technologies aimed at improving the recycling of metals to reduce dependence on mining. 5 bccb58e39d04eb0ca494d80ca20e6a67
Technologies that enhance the ocean’s ability to absorb and store carbon dioxide, crucial in combating climate change. 4 bccb58e39d04eb0ca494d80ca20e6a67

Issues

name description relevancy
Deep Sea Mining Environmental Risks The unpredictable and potentially irreversible environmental impacts of deep sea mining on marine ecosystems and biodiversity. 5
Climate Change Interference The risk of disrupting the deep ocean’s role in regulating climate change amid a climate emergency. 5
Opposition to Deep Sea Mining Growing international opposition from scientists, businesses, and governments against the deep sea mining industry. 4
Regulatory Challenges The need for comprehensive regulations governing deep sea mining to protect ocean ecosystems, as current laws are insufficient. 4
Socioeconomic Impacts on Coastal Communities The potential negative effects of deep sea mining on vulnerable coastal and Pacific Island communities dependent on ocean resources. 4
Dependence on Ocean Resources The increasing reliance on ocean resources for economic and cultural livelihoods, highlighting the need for sustainable practices. 3
Shift in Energy Resources The transition to minerals needed for renewable energy technologies versus the ecological costs of obtaining them from the ocean. 4
Technological Challenges in Deep Sea Mining The technological limitations and challenges faced by mining companies in conducting deep sea operations safely and effectively. 3