Neal Stephenson, a sci-fi legend, has made stunning predictions about our current technological age. His novels coined the term “metaverse” and laid the groundwork for things like cryptocurrency. Stephenson’s book, The Diamond Age, explores a future where technology is seamlessly integrated into everyday life, and he predicts the rise of AI revolution. However, he is less optimistic about today’s AI, viewing chatbots as statistics engines rather than oracles. Stephenson also discusses the application of generative AI models in various fields, the ethics surrounding them, and the potential impact on society.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Stephenson’s prediction | AI revolution | More advanced and sophisticated AI | Advancements in technology and learning methods |
| Creation of a personalized chatbot | From statistics engine | Improved AI based on individual learning styles | Desire for personalized and adaptive education |
| Seamless digital communication | Technology integration | Increased presence of screens and connectivity | Advancements in communication technology |
| Use of generative AI in education | Different AI application | AI models tailored to individual learning styles | Need for personalized education methods |
| Use of generative AI in various fields | Overreliance on AI | AI used in areas without specialized abilities | Lack of understanding about AI capabilities |
| Criticism of generative AI outputs | Lack of originality | Artistic creativity diminished by AI-generated content | Concerns about the impact on human creativity |
| Use of human actors with AI | Hybrid human-AI system | AI-generated content voiced by real humans | Desire for live performances and human touch |
| Access to generative AI technology | Unequal access | Diverse access based on socioeconomic status | Influence of economic factors and technology costs |
| Naivete in the perception of AI | Misunderstanding | Unrealistic expectations of AI capabilities | Lack of understanding and knowledge about AI |
| Uncertainty about future AI impact | Transistor stage of AI | Emergence of unpredictable AI applications | Rapid advancements and creativity in the industry |