This text explores the concept of “Failure to Launch” (FTL), a condition that affects many young men who struggle with transitioning into adulthood. The author discusses how FTL has gained attention through articles in prominent publications like the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times. The cultural aspect of this problem is examined, with a focus on the lack of clear rituals and developmental categories for young men in American society. The text also highlights the fast-paced and constantly changing nature of American culture, which can further contribute to feelings of confusion and dislocation for these individuals. The author argues for the need to level with young men and provide them with the necessary tools to navigate and shape their own identities in this rapidly evolving cultural landscape.
| Signal | Change | 10y horizon | Driving force |
|---|---|---|---|
| “Failure to Launch” guys | Cultural shift | More focus on providing guidance and support for young men in transition to adulthood | Breakdown of traditional rites of passage |
| Breakdown of US economics | Job market shift | Greater recognition and response to the surplus of labor and lack of opportunities | Arrival of post-Soviet and China in economic sphere |
| Paradox of choice | Decision-making shift | Development of tools and resources to help navigate the overwhelming number of options | Increased awareness of the impact of choice |
| Changing life expectations | Evolving aspirations | Shift towards more individualized paths and diverse definitions of success | Desire for autonomy and non-traditional lifestyles |
| Need for guidance and support | Cultural response | Creation of resources and mentorship programs to help young people navigate choices | Recognition of the challenges they face |
| Focus on self-invention | Empowerment and agency shift | Emphasis on equipping individuals with the skills for self-discovery and adaptation | Desire to adapt to a rapidly changing culture |