Futures

Securing Submarine Cable Communications, from (20241013.)

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Summary

Western powers, including the U.S. and EU member states, are preparing to sign a New York Joint Statement aimed at securing submarine communications cables by excluding Chinese firms and technology. This plan emphasizes the need for data security measures and encourages alliances with trusted suppliers from friendly nations. The draft aims to prevent potential disruptions in global communications that could arise from Chinese state influence. Additionally, it stresses transparency in ownership and corporate governance of companies operating undersea networks to ensure accountability.

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Themes

Signals

Signal Change 10y horizon Driving force
Western powers secure submarine communication Shift to trusted suppliers only More resilient global communication National security and trust
Exclusion of Chinese firms from undersea cables From reliance on adversary tech Diminished influence of Chinese firms Geopolitical tensions
Focus on supply chain and data security measures Enhancing operational security Greater incident transparency Cybersecurity concerns
Increased transparency in cable ownership From opaque to clear governance Clearer accountability in suppliers Demand for trust and reliability
Development of satellite backup systems From cable reliance to hybrid Increased redundancy in communications Resilience against cyber attacks

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